[High summer temperatures and mortality in the Czech Republic 1982-2000].
Identifieur interne : 002999 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 002998; suivant : 002A00[High summer temperatures and mortality in the Czech Republic 1982-2000].
Auteurs : J. Kysel [République tchèque] ; B. KrízSource :
- Epidemiologie, mikrobiologie, imunologie : casopis Spolecnosti pro epidemiologii a mikrobiologii Ceske lekarske spolecnosti J.E. Purkyne [ 1210-7913 ] ; 2003.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- épidémiologie : Europe, République tchèque.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Concepts météorologiques, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Humains, Mortalité, Nourrisson, Saisons, Température.
- Wicri :
- geographic : République tchèque.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Czech Republic, Europe.
- Adolescent, Adult, Child, Child, Preschool, Humans, Infant, Meteorological Concepts, Middle Aged, Mortality, Seasons, Temperature.
Abstract
The heat-stress-related mortality, which is among main impacts of periods of high summer temperature on society, was reported in many European countries, but analyses focusing on central European population have been rare. Results of the analysis for the period of 1982-2000 in the Czech Republic indicate that heat stress leads to a considerably increased all-causes mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular diseases. Periods with the highest deviations of the daily number of deaths from a baseline (in all-year data) are influenza epidemics and heat waves; the distribution of days with the highest excess mortality in a year is clearly bimodal, showing a main peak in winter and a secondary one in summer. Summer days with a considerably increased mortality are almost entirely days with a positive temperature deviation from the seasonal course. Deviations of mortality from the baseline exceed 100 deaths daily (more than 30% relative increase) in heat wave peaks, and the excess total mortality during the severe 1994 heat waves was +456 deaths (+10.3%) for June 17 to 30, and 8 deaths (+12.3%) for July 24 to August 8. The relative increase in mortality due to cardiovascular diseases was even more pronounced. The mortality displacement effect played an important role, since it was estimated to account for as much as 52% of the total number of victims for the June 1994 heat wave and 48% for the July-August heat wave. People who would die soon without oppressive weather conditions make about half of the total number of deaths, which is a larger value compared to what other studies reported. The increased mortality is observed at maximum (average, minimum) daily temperatures higher than 25 degrees C (18 degrees C, 14 degrees C) and their anomalies from mean seasonal courses larger than 3 degrees C. The same values hold for both the total and cardiovascular mortality. The mortality response at high temperatures is more pronounced in females than males. Correlations between mortality and temperature variables (including heat index) are positive and statistically significant (P = 0.01), stronger for deviations of meteorological variables from seasonal courses than for raw values, in females than males, and for heat index than for any temperature variable and summer simmer index. The unlagged correlations are stronger than correlations with lags 1-3 days; positive values of correlation coefficients hold for lags 0 to 3 days only while at lags of 4 to 25 days, the link is negative (mostly statistically significant) which demonstrates the mortality displacement effect and its time extent.
PubMed: 12931347
Affiliations:
Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)
- to stream PubMed, to step Corpus: 000962
- to stream PubMed, to step Curation: 000959
- to stream PubMed, to step Checkpoint: 000911
- to stream Ncbi, to step Merge: 000073
- to stream Ncbi, to step Curation: 000073
- to stream Ncbi, to step Checkpoint: 000073
- to stream Main, to step Merge: 002A09
- to stream Main, to step Curation: 002999
Le document en format XML
<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">[High summer temperatures and mortality in the Czech Republic 1982-2000].</title>
<author><name sortKey="Kysel, J" sort="Kysel, J" uniqKey="Kysel J" first="J" last="Kysel">J. Kysel</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Ustav fyziky atmosféry AV CR, Praha. honza@ufa.cas.cz</nlm:affiliation>
<country>République tchèque</country>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Prague</settlement>
<region type="région" nuts="2">Bohême centrale</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:orgArea>Ustav fyziky atmosféry AV CR</wicri:orgArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kriz, B" sort="Kriz, B" uniqKey="Kriz B" first="B" last="Kríz">B. Kríz</name>
</author>
</titleStmt>
<publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno>
<date when="2003">2003</date>
<idno type="RBID">pubmed:12931347</idno>
<idno type="pmid">12931347</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000962</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000962</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000959</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000959</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000911</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000911</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000073</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000073</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000073</idno>
<idno type="wicri:doubleKey">1210-7913:2003:Kysel J:high:summer:temperatures</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">002A09</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">002999</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">002999</idno>
</publicationStmt>
<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">[High summer temperatures and mortality in the Czech Republic 1982-2000].</title>
<author><name sortKey="Kysel, J" sort="Kysel, J" uniqKey="Kysel J" first="J" last="Kysel">J. Kysel</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Ustav fyziky atmosféry AV CR, Praha. honza@ufa.cas.cz</nlm:affiliation>
<country>République tchèque</country>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Prague</settlement>
<region type="région" nuts="2">Bohême centrale</region>
</placeName>
<wicri:orgArea>Ustav fyziky atmosféry AV CR</wicri:orgArea>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Kriz, B" sort="Kriz, B" uniqKey="Kriz B" first="B" last="Kríz">B. Kríz</name>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">Epidemiologie, mikrobiologie, imunologie : casopis Spolecnosti pro epidemiologii a mikrobiologii Ceske lekarske spolecnosti J.E. Purkyne</title>
<idno type="ISSN">1210-7913</idno>
<imprint><date when="2003" type="published">2003</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term>
<term>Adult</term>
<term>Child</term>
<term>Child, Preschool</term>
<term>Czech Republic (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Europe (epidemiology)</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Infant</term>
<term>Meteorological Concepts</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
<term>Mortality</term>
<term>Seasons</term>
<term>Temperature</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term>
<term>Adulte</term>
<term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
<term>Concepts météorologiques</term>
<term>Enfant</term>
<term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term>
<term>Europe (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Mortalité</term>
<term>Nourrisson</term>
<term>République tchèque (épidémiologie)</term>
<term>Saisons</term>
<term>Température</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Czech Republic</term>
<term>Europe</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Europe</term>
<term>République tchèque</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term>
<term>Adult</term>
<term>Child</term>
<term>Child, Preschool</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Infant</term>
<term>Meteorological Concepts</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
<term>Mortality</term>
<term>Seasons</term>
<term>Temperature</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term>
<term>Adulte</term>
<term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
<term>Concepts météorologiques</term>
<term>Enfant</term>
<term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Mortalité</term>
<term>Nourrisson</term>
<term>Saisons</term>
<term>Température</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>République tchèque</term>
</keywords>
</textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The heat-stress-related mortality, which is among main impacts of periods of high summer temperature on society, was reported in many European countries, but analyses focusing on central European population have been rare. Results of the analysis for the period of 1982-2000 in the Czech Republic indicate that heat stress leads to a considerably increased all-causes mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular diseases. Periods with the highest deviations of the daily number of deaths from a baseline (in all-year data) are influenza epidemics and heat waves; the distribution of days with the highest excess mortality in a year is clearly bimodal, showing a main peak in winter and a secondary one in summer. Summer days with a considerably increased mortality are almost entirely days with a positive temperature deviation from the seasonal course. Deviations of mortality from the baseline exceed 100 deaths daily (more than 30% relative increase) in heat wave peaks, and the excess total mortality during the severe 1994 heat waves was +456 deaths (+10.3%) for June 17 to 30, and 8 deaths (+12.3%) for July 24 to August 8. The relative increase in mortality due to cardiovascular diseases was even more pronounced. The mortality displacement effect played an important role, since it was estimated to account for as much as 52% of the total number of victims for the June 1994 heat wave and 48% for the July-August heat wave. People who would die soon without oppressive weather conditions make about half of the total number of deaths, which is a larger value compared to what other studies reported. The increased mortality is observed at maximum (average, minimum) daily temperatures higher than 25 degrees C (18 degrees C, 14 degrees C) and their anomalies from mean seasonal courses larger than 3 degrees C. The same values hold for both the total and cardiovascular mortality. The mortality response at high temperatures is more pronounced in females than males. Correlations between mortality and temperature variables (including heat index) are positive and statistically significant (P = 0.01), stronger for deviations of meteorological variables from seasonal courses than for raw values, in females than males, and for heat index than for any temperature variable and summer simmer index. The unlagged correlations are stronger than correlations with lags 1-3 days; positive values of correlation coefficients hold for lags 0 to 3 days only while at lags of 4 to 25 days, the link is negative (mostly statistically significant) which demonstrates the mortality displacement effect and its time extent.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>République tchèque</li>
</country>
<region><li>Bohême centrale</li>
</region>
<settlement><li>Prague</li>
</settlement>
</list>
<tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Kriz, B" sort="Kriz, B" uniqKey="Kriz B" first="B" last="Kríz">B. Kríz</name>
</noCountry>
<country name="République tchèque"><region name="Bohême centrale"><name sortKey="Kysel, J" sort="Kysel, J" uniqKey="Kysel J" first="J" last="Kysel">J. Kysel</name>
</region>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>
Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Sante/explor/StressCovidV1/Data/Main/Exploration
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 002999 | SxmlIndent | more
Ou
HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd -nk 002999 | SxmlIndent | more
Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri
{{Explor lien |wiki= Sante |area= StressCovidV1 |flux= Main |étape= Exploration |type= RBID |clé= pubmed:12931347 |texte= [High summer temperatures and mortality in the Czech Republic 1982-2000]. }}
Pour générer des pages wiki
HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/RBID.i -Sk "pubmed:12931347" \ | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/Main/Exploration/biblio.hfd \ | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a StressCovidV1
This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33. |